Ciudad de Lucena vs AD Ceuta FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
CDL
4 - 1
CEU
51%
25%
24%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
CDL
1 - 0
XER
49%
25%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
XER
2 - 0
CDL
49%
26%
25%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
CDL
0 - 1
XER
42%
26%
32%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
XER
0 - 0
CDL
41%
26%
33%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AD Ceuta FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
CEU
3 - 3
UTR
40%
27%
34%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
CDL
4 - 1
CEU
51%
25%
24%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
CEU
0 - 0
CDA
51%
24%
25%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
SRQ
2 - 0
CEU
47%
25%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CEU
2 - 3
CDL
47%
26%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |