Ciudad de Murcia vs Lleida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad de Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
XER
0 - 1
CIU
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
EIB
3 - 2
CIU
57%
26%
18%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
CIU
0 - 2
XER
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
TER
0 - 1
CIU
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
CIU
2 - 3
PON
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lleida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
LLE
1 - 0
VCF
17%
27%
56%
|
63 | 93 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
LLE
1 - 1
CDT
31%
29%
40%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
VAD
1 - 1
LLE
79%
16%
6%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
LLE
1 - 2
ELC
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
CCF
0 - 1
LLE
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |