Ciudad de Murcia vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
20.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad de Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2003 |
MAL
1 - 1
CIU
48%
26%
27%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
CIU
2 - 0
ALG
49%
28%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
BET
1 - 4
CIU
41%
29%
30%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
CIU
3 - 1
CAD
44%
28%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
JER
0 - 0
CIU
42%
29%
29%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
RJA
2 - 3
EXT
31%
29%
40%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2003 |
ECI
1 - 1
RJA
36%
31%
33%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
RJA
2 - 2
SEV
55%
26%
19%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
CPC
4 - 2
RJA
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
CAR
0 - 0
RJA
34%
30%
36%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |