Ciudad de Murcia vs Motril CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
18.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad de Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
AGD
0 - 0
CIU
53%
26%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
CIU
1 - 1
MEL
60%
24%
16%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
CIU
0 - 1
MER
48%
27%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2003 |
CAR
1 - 0
CIU
33%
30%
37%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
EXT
1 - 0
CIU
64%
22%
14%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Motril CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2003 |
MOT
1 - 3
EXT
25%
28%
48%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
ECI
3 - 2
MOT
47%
29%
24%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
SEV
2 - 0
MOT
38%
29%
33%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
MOT
0 - 1
CPC
34%
26%
41%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2002 |
RJA
3 - 1
MOT
55%
26%
19%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |