Ciudad de Murcia vs Poli Ejido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
14.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad de Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2006 |
CIU
2 - 0
GIM
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2006 |
ALB
2 - 2
CIU
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2006 |
CIU
1 - 0
MUR
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
ELC
0 - 0
CIU
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
CIU
2 - 1
RCF
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Poli Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2006 |
LOR
0 - 0
POL
61%
23%
17%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2006 |
POL
0 - 1
EIB
49%
28%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2006 |
VAD
0 - 1
POL
65%
22%
13%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
POL
1 - 0
SPO
42%
29%
28%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
CDT
2 - 1
POL
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |