City of Lusaka vs Red Arrows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
City of Lusaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
FOR
3 - 1
COL
38%
26%
36%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2017 |
COL
0 - 1
BFC
52%
24%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
NKW
1 - 0
COL
39%
26%
35%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2017 |
COL
1 - 1
POW
55%
24%
20%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
LUD
5 - 2
COL
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
RED
1 - 2
GRE
44%
28%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2017 |
ZES
0 - 0
RED
55%
24%
21%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
RED
1 - 2
NKA
44%
28%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
NCH
2 - 0
RED
43%
28%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
RED
1 - 0
LEO
44%
28%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |