City of Liverpool vs Nantwich Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
66.7%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
City of Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2017 |
CIT
8 - 2
PRE
29%
20%
51%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
PRE
2 - 2
CIT
55%
20%
24%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
PAD
1 - 2
CIT
31%
22%
48%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Nantwich Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
NAN
2 - 2
BAR
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
MIC
1 - 2
NAN
28%
24%
49%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2017 |
STO
1 - 1
NAN
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
NAN
2 - 0
WOR
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
NAN
1 - 1
ALT
78%
14%
8%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |