Cittanova vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
39.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CCI
2 - 2
MES
25%
23%
52%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 0
CCI
82%
13%
4%
|
24 | 68 | 44 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CCI
1 - 0
ROT
40%
22%
38%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 2
CCI
54%
22%
24%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
USC
1 - 0
CCI
59%
21%
20%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
MAR
4 - 1
SAN
49%
23%
28%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
MES
3 - 2
MAR
72%
17%
11%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 0
ROC
32%
26%
42%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ROT
1 - 0
MAR
43%
23%
35%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 2
GEL
27%
22%
51%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -2 |