Cittanova Interpiana vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
65.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittanova Interpiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
4 - 1
CIT
70%
19%
11%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
CIT
1 - 3
ACP
15%
23%
62%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ASD
6 - 0
CIT
81%
13%
6%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
CIT
1 - 4
SER
17%
22%
61%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ACI
1 - 0
CIT
69%
20%
11%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
MES
1 - 2
POL
64%
21%
16%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
ACS
3 - 2
MES
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MES
2 - 1
BAT
56%
23%
20%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
NUO
4 - 1
MES
64%
22%
15%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
MES
4 - 0
LIC
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |