Cittadella Sub 19 vs Padova Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
38.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
7º
16º
15º
37
3º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
UDI
2 - 1
CIT
40%
23%
37%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CIT
1 - 1
VEN
9%
15%
77%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
CIT
1 - 2
SUD
73%
16%
11%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
CIT
0 - 3
PAR
10%
17%
73%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
BRE
3 - 4
CIT
66%
18%
16%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Padova Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CRE
5 - 1
PAD
84%
11%
5%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PAD
3 - 2
UDI
54%
23%
23%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
PAD
1 - 2
BAR
33%
23%
45%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
COM
3 - 1
PAD
63%
19%
18%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
PAD
1 - 1
ABL
32%
23%
45%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |