FC Messina vs Palmese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
27.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
USC
3 - 0
CIT
46%
24%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
CIT
2 - 1
FCI
62%
19%
19%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
LOC
1 - 2
CIT
37%
23%
40%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
CIT
1 - 0
TUR
29%
23%
48%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ACI
2 - 2
CIT
50%
24%
26%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Palmese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
ACI
2 - 1
PAL
37%
26%
37%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
PAL
1 - 2
LOC
69%
17%
14%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
TUR
3 - 0
PAL
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
PAL
1 - 3
CCI
71%
17%
12%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 2
PAL
42%
26%
33%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +2 |