FC Messina vs Cittanova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
17.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 0
CIT
52%
23%
25%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
CIT
3 - 2
MES
40%
24%
37%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 0
CIT
82%
14%
5%
|
26 | 66 | 40 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CIT
2 - 1
ROT
75%
14%
10%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
CIT
49%
23%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cittanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
CCI
0 - 2
GEL
29%
21%
50%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
LOC
0 - 2
CCI
57%
20%
22%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
CCI
1 - 3
USC
41%
22%
36%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
TUR
3 - 0
CCI
65%
19%
17%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CCI
3 - 2
ACI
31%
22%
46%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +2 |