FC Messina vs Castrovillari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
40.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
FCI
0 - 1
CIT
35%
27%
38%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
CIT
2 - 1
LOC
56%
20%
23%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
TUR
6 - 0
CIT
79%
14%
7%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
CIT
2 - 0
ACI
28%
24%
48%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +3 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CCI
2 - 1
CIT
70%
17%
13%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
USC
1 - 1
GEL
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
FCI
0 - 1
USC
22%
23%
55%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
ACI
0 - 2
USC
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
USC
3 - 0
LOC
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 0
USC
51%
23%
26%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |