FC Messina vs Cittá Di Sant'Agata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
MDR
3 - 3
CIT
22%
23%
55%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
CIT
1 - 0
REN
58%
23%
18%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
MES
1 - 0
CIT
44%
27%
29%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
CIT
3 - 0
LIC
57%
24%
20%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CIT
1 - 0
SMC
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cittá Di Sant'Agata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
CSA
2 - 1
USC
49%
22%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
ROT
0 - 0
CSA
54%
21%
25%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CSA
0 - 0
GEL
29%
26%
45%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CCI
0 - 0
CSA
42%
23%
35%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CSA
3 - 1
ACI
23%
21%
55%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +4 |