Citizen AA vs Tuen Mun SA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Citizen AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
CAA
2 - 1
PFC
19%
23%
58%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
CAA
2 - 1
SDI
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SDI
1 - 0
CAA
47%
23%
30%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
YOK
3 - 2
CAA
42%
24%
35%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ISK
2 - 1
CAA
44%
24%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Tuen Mun SA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
SHS
2 - 1
TMS
38%
23%
39%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
SDI
1 - 1
TMS
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
BIU
1 - 4
TMS
51%
23%
26%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
YOK
2 - 4
TMS
59%
22%
20%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
TMS
0 - 5
CAA
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -2 |