Citizen AA vs Tuen Mun SA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Citizen AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
SCA
2 - 2
CAA
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2012 |
CAA
0 - 2
HON
65%
20%
16%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2012 |
YAN
1 - 2
CAA
6%
14%
80%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2012 |
CAA
1 - 2
LCS
20%
21%
59%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
KFC
3 - 1
CAA
78%
15%
8%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Tuen Mun SA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
TMS
3 - 2
WTP
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
KFC
1 - 0
TMS
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
TMS
3 - 0
HON
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
TMS
1 - 1
SCA
18%
22%
61%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
TMS
1 - 1
PFC
21%
24%
55%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |