Citizen AA vs Tuen Mun SA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Citizen AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
CAA
1 - 0
SHA
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
CAA
3 - 3
SCA
19%
22%
60%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
SHS
2 - 3
CAA
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CAA
2 - 3
PFC
31%
26%
44%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
CAA
1 - 2
TMS
55%
22%
23%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Tuen Mun SA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
YOK
0 - 0
TMS
61%
19%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
WTP
1 - 1
TMS
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2011 |
SHS
2 - 2
TMS
73%
16%
12%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
PFC
3 - 1
TMS
70%
19%
12%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
TMS
0 - 1
SHS
26%
23%
51%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |