Citizen AA vs South China AA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
42.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Citizen AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
HON
1 - 3
CAA
38%
24%
38%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
CAA
0 - 0
HVA
26%
21%
54%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2007 |
BIU
2 - 2
CAA
67%
19%
15%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2006 |
HON
0 - 1
CAA
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
SCA
5 - 2
CAA
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
South China AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
SCA
1 - 2
HVA
36%
23%
41%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2007 |
BIU
0 - 2
SCA
55%
22%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2007 |
SCA
2 - 0
HON
66%
19%
16%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
HKO
0 - 8
SCA
26%
26%
49%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
SCA
5 - 2
CAA
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |