Citizen AA vs Hong Kong FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
19.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Citizen AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
SHS
4 - 5
CAA
47%
25%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2010 |
CAA
0 - 4
PFC
38%
26%
37%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2010 |
KFC
3 - 1
CAA
56%
24%
21%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
CAA
3 - 1
TCS
68%
19%
13%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
SCA
2 - 0
CAA
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2010 |
HON
2 - 2
TCS
68%
18%
14%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2010 |
KFC
6 - 0
HON
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
YOK
7 - 1
HON
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2010 |
PFC
5 - 1
HON
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
WTP
1 - 1
HON
44%
25%
32%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |