Citizen AA vs Hong Kong FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
24%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Citizen AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
CAA
1 - 2
SHS
29%
23%
48%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
BIU
1 - 1
CAA
68%
18%
14%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
SCA
1 - 2
CAA
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2005 |
CAA
3 - 0
HKO
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
KFC
3 - 0
CAA
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
HON
1 - 3
BIU
22%
22%
56%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
SHS
6 - 1
HON
69%
18%
13%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |