Ciserano vs Virtus Bolzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
16.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciserano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
DAR
2 - 1
CIS
54%
21%
25%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CIS
1 - 1
LEC
27%
22%
51%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
DCA
2 - 1
CIS
46%
23%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CIS
2 - 1
PER
30%
24%
46%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +3 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
PSM
2 - 0
CIS
67%
18%
15%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Bolzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
VIR
0 - 0
OLG
25%
22%
53%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
VBE
3 - 0
VIR
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 0
LEV
47%
22%
31%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SCA
1 - 2
VIR
63%
19%
17%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 2
GRU
27%
22%
52%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |