Ciserano vs Virtus Bergamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
56.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciserano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
PON
2 - 1
CIS
79%
13%
7%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
CIS
1 - 1
DCA
55%
23%
22%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CRE
3 - 0
CIS
63%
19%
18%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CIS
0 - 2
PRO
22%
24%
55%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
GRU
1 - 2
CIS
53%
24%
24%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Virtus Bergamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
VBE
2 - 1
ACL
57%
23%
20%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
VBE
4 - 1
PON
31%
25%
45%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +3 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 2
VBE
34%
25%
41%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
DCA
0 - 3
VBE
20%
24%
56%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
VBE
0 - 2
CRE
67%
18%
15%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |