Ciserano vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
54.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciserano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
GRU
1 - 2
CIS
53%
24%
24%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CIS
2 - 1
ROM
85%
11%
5%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
REZ
3 - 2
CIS
77%
16%
7%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
CIS
1 - 1
LEC
37%
24%
39%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
DAR
3 - 0
CIS
71%
18%
11%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
PRO
1 - 0
ACL
66%
20%
14%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 1
PRO
26%
25%
49%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
PRO
1 - 1
VBE
54%
24%
22%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
PON
1 - 0
PRO
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
PRO
1 - 0
DCA
81%
14%
5%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |