Ciserano vs Pol. Ciliverghe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
27.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciserano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
PRO
2 - 1
CIS
52%
24%
24%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CIS
0 - 0
FCC
38%
24%
38%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SER
3 - 1
CIS
61%
21%
18%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CIS
3 - 0
PON
26%
22%
52%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +3 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
AUR
0 - 0
CIS
59%
21%
20%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Pol. Ciliverghe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
PSM
0 - 1
PER
43%
24%
32%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 0
PSM
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
PSM
0 - 0
OLG
35%
25%
40%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
PRO
0 - 0
PSM
49%
24%
27%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
PSM
0 - 5
FCC
53%
22%
24%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -2 |