Ciserano vs Pergolettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
46.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciserano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
PSM
2 - 0
CIS
67%
18%
15%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CIS
3 - 2
SER
24%
22%
54%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CIS
0 - 1
CAR
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
PRO
3 - 1
CIS
55%
22%
24%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
OLG
2 - 1
CIS
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
PER
3 - 1
OLG
46%
26%
28%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
VBE
0 - 2
PER
60%
20%
20%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
PER
2 - 0
LEV
66%
20%
15%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SCA
2 - 3
PER
33%
25%
42%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
GRU
0 - 3
PER
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +2 |