Ciserano vs Pergolettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
23.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciserano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PSM
2 - 1
CIS
35%
24%
41%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CIS
2 - 2
GRU
39%
23%
38%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
PIA
2 - 2
CIS
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CIS
0 - 3
INV
54%
22%
25%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
FOL
2 - 3
CIS
34%
24%
42%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PER
1 - 2
PIA
17%
23%
60%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
INV
1 - 1
PER
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
PER
3 - 1
FOL
57%
25%
18%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
PER
1 - 1
LEC
29%
26%
45%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
VBE
0 - 2
PER
39%
24%
37%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |