Ciserano vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciserano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
VBE
2 - 2
CIS
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CIS
3 - 2
CAR
64%
20%
17%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
LEC
3 - 0
CIS
76%
14%
10%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CIS
1 - 1
MAP
61%
20%
19%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SER
0 - 1
CIS
69%
17%
14%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
INV
1 - 3
FOL
61%
22%
17%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
FOL
0 - 0
LEC
17%
22%
61%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
VBE
2 - 0
FOL
43%
24%
32%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
FOL
2 - 1
SER
30%
26%
44%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 3
FOL
34%
29%
38%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |