Ciserano vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
36.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciserano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
VBE
2 - 2
CIS
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
CIS
2 - 3
PON
15%
21%
65%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
DCA
4 - 4
CIS
50%
25%
25%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
CIS
0 - 3
CRE
24%
22%
54%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
PRO
0 - 0
CIS
79%
14%
6%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 2
ACL
38%
25%
37%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
VBE
0 - 1
CAR
69%
18%
13%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 4
PON
24%
24%
52%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
DCA
1 - 1
CAR
35%
27%
38%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 1
CRE
36%
24%
40%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |