Ciserano vs Calvina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
43.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciserano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
ACL
2 - 3
CIS
51%
25%
24%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
CIS
2 - 1
ACL
33%
25%
42%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 2
CIS
67%
19%
14%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
CIS
2 - 3
VBE
20%
23%
57%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
PON
2 - 1
CIS
79%
13%
7%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
GOV
2 - 0
CAL
49%
23%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 1
VER
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
GUS
0 - 1
CAL
29%
23%
48%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
CAL
3 - 2
BED
50%
23%
28%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CAL
3 - 1
CON
70%
17%
13%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |