Ciserano vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
38.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciserano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
DAR
3 - 0
CIS
71%
18%
11%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CIS
2 - 0
PSM
26%
25%
49%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +3 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
LEV
2 - 1
CIS
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CIS
1 - 1
TRE
41%
24%
36%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
PER
1 - 1
CIS
71%
19%
11%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
LEC
0 - 1
ACL
45%
25%
31%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 1
LEC
38%
25%
38%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
LEC
0 - 1
VBE
43%
24%
33%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
PON
3 - 2
LEC
67%
18%
15%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
LEC
1 - 0
DCA
78%
15%
8%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |