Circulo Popular vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
20.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Circulo Popular
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
MIR
1 - 2
POP
50%
22%
28%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1947 |
POP
2 - 0
CFP
74%
15%
12%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
RAC
2 - 0
POP
91%
6%
3%
|
35 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
POP
7 - 0
AVI
60%
19%
21%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +3 |
| 23 Nov. 1947 |
RJU
1 - 1
POP
62%
18%
19%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
CFP
3 - 2
AVI
62%
18%
20%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1947 |
AVI
2 - 0
RAC
19%
19%
63%
|
34 | 61 | 27 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
RJU
2 - 3
AVI
55%
20%
25%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
POP
7 - 0
AVI
60%
19%
21%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Nov. 1947 |
AVI
2 - 0
GIM
54%
20%
26%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |