Circulo Deportivo vs Dep. Santamarina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
51.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
6º
8º
8º
41
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
92.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
58% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 58% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 42% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Circulo Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
CDC
76%
17%
7%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
CDC
0 - 0
LIN
51%
25%
23%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 2
CDC
66%
20%
14%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
CDC
2 - 2
OLI
13%
23%
65%
|
40 | 62 | 22 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
SDM
2 - 1
CDC
68%
19%
13%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
RSA
1 - 1
OLI
20%
27%
53%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
SDM
1 - 1
RSA
35%
27%
39%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
RSA
3 - 0
GER
58%
25%
17%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
CIP
2 - 1
RSA
30%
28%
42%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
RSA
1 - 1
VIL
32%
32%
36%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |