Torneo Federal A Last 16
Global 2-2
Cipolletti vs San Martín Tucumán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cipolletti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
SMA
1 - 0
CIP
51%
25%
24%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
CIP
0 - 0
CON
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CON
1 - 2
CIP
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
CIP
1 - 0
JAN
33%
28%
39%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
UNI
3 - 2
CIP
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
San Martín Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
SMA
1 - 0
CIP
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2015 |
SMA
0 - 1
GIM
55%
24%
22%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2015 |
GIM
1 - 2
SMA
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
DFR
2 - 1
SMA
62%
23%
15%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
SMA
1 - 1
JUU
36%
28%
36%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |