Cipolletti vs Kimberley Mar del Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
20.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
5º
10º
9º
22
3º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 25 |
4º
|
52% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 23 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cipolletti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2024 |
CIP
2 - 0
CSS
68%
20%
13%
|
50 | 23 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
GER
1 - 1
CIP
47%
27%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CIP
0 - 1
VIL
18%
29%
52%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
RSA
0 - 0
CIP
53%
26%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CIP
2 - 1
CDC
51%
26%
24%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Kimberley Mar del Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 1
KIM
82%
14%
4%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
KIM
1 - 1
SAN
39%
27%
34%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
KIM
1 - 1
CSS
67%
20%
13%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
GER
2 - 1
KIM
53%
27%
20%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
KIM
1 - 0
VIL
13%
28%
59%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | +1 |