Cipolletti vs Dep. Santamarina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
42%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
7º
3º
41
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
92.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
58% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 58% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 42% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cipolletti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 0
CIP
70%
20%
10%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
CIP
1 - 0
LIN
55%
25%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
CIP
51%
26%
24%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
CIP
2 - 0
CDC
58%
24%
18%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
CIP
1 - 0
OLI
16%
24%
60%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
RSA
1 - 1
VIL
32%
32%
36%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
LIN
0 - 1
RSA
25%
27%
48%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
RSA
0 - 0
SAN
52%
26%
21%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
RSA
2 - 1
CDC
68%
20%
12%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
OLI
2 - 2
RSA
68%
21%
12%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |