Cinfães vs Regua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
10.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
2º
8º
5º
6
13º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 54 |
1º
|
65.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 50 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 47 |
3º
|
35.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 45 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 42 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 38 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 35 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 35 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 33 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 32 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 29 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 26 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 20 |
13º
|
66% | |
|
|
14º
|
6 | 13 |
14º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
6.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
90% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
3.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cinfães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
LEC
1 - 0
CIN
53%
25%
22%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ALP
1 - 2
CIN
44%
23%
33%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CIN
2 - 2
BMA
32%
27%
42%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
MAC
0 - 0
CIN
36%
24%
41%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CIN
3 - 2
FCB
35%
26%
39%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Regua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
REG
2 - 3
COI
29%
22%
49%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ADM
2 - 1
REG
76%
14%
10%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
REG
0 - 1
CAM
17%
19%
64%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LUS
2 - 1
REG
72%
17%
11%
|
17 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 2
REG
10%
13%
77%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |