Cinfães vs Penalva Castelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
8.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cinfães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
PAR
1 - 2
CIN
44%
26%
31%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
SPO
2 - 3
CIN
10%
18%
72%
|
37 | 10 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CIN
3 - 2
MAR
29%
26%
45%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
ESP
3 - 1
CIN
68%
20%
11%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
CIN
0 - 1
AMA
27%
27%
47%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Penalva Castelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 3
ESP
9%
21%
69%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
LUS
2 - 0
PEN
83%
12%
5%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 5
AMA
11%
22%
67%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 0
PEN
74%
17%
9%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
PEN
2 - 1
SPO
91%
7%
2%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |