Cinfães vs USC Paredes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cinfães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
CIN
1 - 1
AMA
41%
26%
33%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
OLI
4 - 0
CIN
29%
25%
46%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -3 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CIN
2 - 0
BOA
24%
27%
50%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MAD
0 - 0
CIN
29%
24%
47%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CIN
1 - 0
OPE
36%
26%
38%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
USC Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
PAR
0 - 1
GON
22%
25%
54%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
AMA
1 - 1
PAR
67%
19%
14%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
PAR
3 - 1
ALI
40%
24%
36%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 1
PAR
48%
23%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 1
TON
17%
23%
59%
|
32 | 63 | 31 | 0 |