Cinfães vs Oliveira Bairro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cinfães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
BOA
4 - 0
CIN
77%
16%
7%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
CIN
2 - 1
MAD
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
OPE
0 - 0
CIN
49%
24%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CIN
1 - 3
ESP
19%
24%
57%
|
39 | 62 | 23 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
COI
0 - 0
CIN
38%
24%
38%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Oliveira Bairro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 1
AMA
23%
23%
54%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 0
OLI
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
BOA
1 - 0
OLI
79%
15%
6%
|
30 | 62 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
OLI
3 - 2
MAD
47%
23%
30%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
OPE
1 - 0
OLI
69%
18%
13%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |