Cinfães vs Lusitania FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cinfães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
SOB
0 - 1
CIN
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
GON
1 - 0
CIN
35%
28%
37%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CIN
1 - 0
LUS
62%
22%
16%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
SOU
3 - 2
CIN
34%
27%
39%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
CIN
2 - 1
SOB
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
LUS
2 - 2
ESP
49%
24%
27%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
LUS
4 - 0
PED
54%
23%
24%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CIN
1 - 0
LUS
62%
22%
16%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
LUS
1 - 0
COI
29%
26%
45%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +2 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
GON
1 - 1
LUS
59%
22%
19%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |