Cinfães vs Cesarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cinfães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SOU
1 - 2
CIN
46%
27%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
CIN
1 - 1
EST
37%
27%
36%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
GON
1 - 0
CIN
50%
26%
24%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
CIN
0 - 0
SAL
12%
26%
62%
|
41 | 65 | 24 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 0
CIN
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CES
0 - 1
SAN
24%
24%
52%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
CES
4 - 2
SOU
30%
26%
44%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
EST
1 - 2
CES
61%
22%
17%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
CES
1 - 0
GON
25%
26%
49%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 0
CES
80%
14%
6%
|
34 | 65 | 31 | 0 |