Cinfães vs Cesarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cinfães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CIN
1 - 1
LUS
58%
22%
19%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
OPE
2 - 2
CIN
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CIN
2 - 1
CES
61%
22%
18%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ANA
3 - 0
CIN
27%
26%
48%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
CIN
1 - 2
SAO
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
TOC
0 - 0
CES
30%
24%
45%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CES
4 - 0
COI
40%
26%
35%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CIN
2 - 1
CES
61%
22%
18%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
CES
0 - 0
TOU
44%
25%
31%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
BUS
2 - 2
CES
48%
24%
29%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |