Cinfães vs Bustelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
26.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cinfães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
LUS
2 - 0
CIN
45%
24%
32%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
CIN
0 - 0
EST
63%
20%
17%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ANA
0 - 0
CIN
37%
24%
39%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
CIN
1 - 0
ESP
41%
26%
33%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CIN
1 - 4
LUS
53%
24%
23%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Bustelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
BUS
2 - 0
LUS
39%
26%
35%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
CES
1 - 1
BUS
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
BUS
2 - 3
GRI
53%
23%
25%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 2
BUS
60%
22%
19%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 1
BUS
63%
21%
16%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |