Cinfães vs Aliados Lordelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cinfães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
TON
2 - 0
CIN
77%
16%
7%
|
37 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CIN
3 - 1
SAO
57%
22%
22%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ANG
1 - 1
CIN
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ANA
0 - 1
CIN
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CIN
1 - 0
PAD
53%
22%
25%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aliados Lordelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 2
AMA
38%
26%
37%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
OLI
0 - 1
ALI
28%
24%
48%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 0
BOA
21%
26%
53%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
ALI
3 - 0
MAD
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
OPE
0 - 1
ALI
54%
24%
23%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |