Ciney vs Excelsior Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
40.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciney
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
BXB
1 - 0
CIN
18%
20%
62%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
GEA
0 - 0
CIN
31%
24%
45%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
CIN
2 - 1
LAC
58%
21%
21%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
HUY
0 - 0
CIN
38%
24%
38%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
CIN
3 - 0
CHA
64%
20%
17%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 0
BER
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
TIE
1 - 1
EXC
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
EXC
3 - 0
VER
75%
17%
8%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
DIE
1 - 5
EXC
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
EXC
2 - 0
UNI
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |