Ciney vs FCV Dender analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
33.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciney
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
VER
2 - 1
CIN
20%
22%
58%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
EXC
0 - 0
CIN
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
CIN
1 - 3
TIE
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
PAT
3 - 0
CIN
22%
22%
55%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
CIN
1 - 1
UNI
76%
15%
9%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
DEN
1 - 1
GRI
72%
18%
10%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
BER
3 - 0
DEN
29%
25%
47%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
VER
1 - 1
DEN
18%
22%
60%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
DEN
2 - 1
WOL
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
EXC
2 - 2
DEN
37%
27%
36%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |