Cimarrones de Sonora vs UA Zacatecas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
10.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
1º
6º
1º
4
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
4º
|
4 | 24 |
1º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 23 |
2º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 22 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 21 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
|
5º
|
4 | 18 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 17 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 17 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 14 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 12 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 11 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 11 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 9 |
12º
|
40% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
22% | 4.5% |
|
Play-offs
|
77% | 85.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
1% | 10% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
ALE
1 - 1
CIM
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
CIM
2 - 1
CAP
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
UAT
0 - 2
CIM
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
CIM
0 - 1
TOR
35%
29%
36%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
MER
0 - 0
CIM
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
UA Zacatecas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
EST
2 - 0
ZAC
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
ZAC
1 - 3
EST
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ZAC
0 - 1
LCU
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MFC
2 - 1
ZAC
17%
22%
62%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ZAC
2 - 2
CFO
74%
16%
10%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |