Cimarrones de Sonora vs Tigres de Álica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
11.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2068%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
1º
1º
1º
8
3º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
10 | 25 |
1º
|
67.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 20 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 19 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 17 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 17 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 15 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 14 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 14 |
8º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
8 | 14 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 13 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 12 |
11º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 5 |
12º
|
88.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
85% | 3% |
|
Possible next round
|
7.5% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
7.5% | 95.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
RAF
1 - 0
CIM
25%
26%
50%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CIM
2 - 1
LCU
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
CIM
4 - 1
EST
69%
20%
11%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ZAC
0 - 3
CIM
23%
25%
53%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
IRA
3 - 0
CIM
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Tigres de Álica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
TDA
1 - 1
EST
20%
22%
58%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ZAC
3 - 2
TDA
74%
16%
10%
|
32 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
TDA
1 - 0
MIN
23%
24%
53%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | +5 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
MFC
0 - 2
TDA
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
TRI
0 - 1
TDA
70%
18%
12%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | +2 |