Liga de Expansión MX - Apertura Jor. 4

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14 SEP 2020 10:00

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Cimarrones de Sonora vs Pumas Tabasco analysis


65	ELO	58
-10.1%	Tilt	-4.2%
1599º	General ELO ranking	45049º
26º	Country ELO ranking	391º
ELO win probability

55.2%

Cimarrones de Sonora

25.6%

Draw

19.2%

Pumas Tabasco

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

55.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%

25.6%

Draw

0-0

9.6%

1-1

11.8%

2-2

3.6%

3-3

0.5%

4-4

<0%

25.6%

19.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cimarrones de Sonora

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
07 Sep. 2020	DOR 0 - 2 CIM 51% 26% 24%	64	66	2	0
28 Aug. 2020	CIM 2 - 1 CFC 54% 26% 21%	64	58	6	0
19 Aug. 2020	CDT 0 - 2 CIM 26% 29% 45%	63	55	8	+1
16 Mar. 2020	CIM 0 - 1 TOR 43% 28% 29%	64	64	0	-1
06 Mar. 2020	CIM 0 - 2 UAT 39% 28% 33%	65	67	2	-1

Matches

Pumas Tabasco

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
03 Sep. 2020	SPT 3 - 3 ZAC 24% 29% 46%	58	71	13	0
26 Aug. 2020	MOR 0 - 2 SPT 84% 12% 5%	57	76	19	+1
20 Aug. 2020	UAT 0 - 0 SPT 73% 17% 10%	57	66	9	0