Cimarrones de Sonora vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
57.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CSL
0 - 3
CIM
49%
25%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CIM
3 - 0
TEP
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ZAC
4 - 0
CIM
74%
19%
8%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MON
3 - 1
CIM
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CIM
1 - 2
LOB
18%
26%
56%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
NEC
3 - 0
TOR
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
NEC
3 - 1
CAÑ
39%
24%
37%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
NEC
1 - 2
TEP
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
CAÑ
5 - 2
NEC
43%
23%
34%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
UAT
0 - 2
NEC
48%
25%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |